St. Lawrence
W-L: (12-21) PR = 95.1515Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 919 A Colgate CAC (19-15, 96.0) 1- 0 925 A Penn State TL (35- 7, 97.8) 0- 3 926 A Penn State TL (35- 7, 97.8) 2- 5 1003 A Mercyhurst TL (21-11, 96.1) 0- 1 1004 A Mercyhurst TL (21-11, 96.1) 3- 0 1010 H Vermont E (16-20, 94.7) 1- 1 1011 H Vermont E (16-20, 94.7) 1- 2 1016 A RIT TL (17-20, 95.2) 3- 0 1017 A RIT TL (17-20, 95.2) 1- 4 1024 A RPI CAC ( 7-28, 93.4) 3- 2 1025 A Union CAC (12-22, 94.4) 3- 2 1031 H Dartmouth CAC ( 5-23, 93.8) 2- 1 1101 H Harvard CAC (16-15, 95.7) 0- 1 1107 A Quinnipiac CAC (29- 9, 97.5) 2- 3 1108 A Princeton CAC (23-11, 96.9) 1- 0 1112 A Clarkson CAC (20-11, 96.6) 1- 6 1121 H Yale CAC (26-10, 97.0) 2- 3 1122 H Brown CAC (18-15, 95.8) 1- 2 1128 A Boston College E (17-19, 94.7) 2- 3 1129 A Boston College E (17-19, 94.7) 4- 2 1204 H Clarkson CAC (20-11, 96.6) 1- 1 1206 A Clarkson CAC (20-11, 96.6) 3- 4 109 A Colgate CAC (19-15, 96.0) 2- 6 110 A Cornell CAC (20-12, 96.7) 2- 5 116 H Union CAC (12-22, 94.4) 5- 2 117 H RPI CAC ( 7-28, 93.4) 5- 2 120 H Clarkson CAC (20-11, 96.6) 0- 5 123 A Harvard CAC (16-15, 95.7) 1- 1 124 A Dartmouth CAC ( 5-23, 93.8) 2- 1 130 H Princeton CAC (23-11, 96.9) 0- 2 131 H Quinnipiac CAC (29- 9, 97.5) 3- 1 206 A Brown CAC (18-15, 95.8) 2- 3 207 A Yale CAC (26-10, 97.0) 1- 4 213 H Cornell CAC (20-12, 96.7) 3- 4 214 H Colgate CAC (19-15, 96.0) 2- 4 221 A Harvard CAC (16-15, 95.7) 2- 3
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
925 A Penn State 0- 3 -3 -3 0.06
926 A Penn State 2- 5 -3 -3 0.06
1004 A Mercyhurst 3- 0 3 -1 ++ 4.31
1010 H Vermont 1- 1 0 1 -0.88
1011 H Vermont 1- 2 -1 1 -1.88
1016 A RIT 3- 0 3 0 + 3.43
1017 A RIT 1- 4 -3 0 - -2.57
1024 A RPI 3- 2 1 1 -0.33
1025 A Union 3- 2 1 0 0.66
1031 H Dartmouth 2- 1 1 2 -0.77
1107 A Quinnipiac 2- 3 -1 -3 1.72
1112 A Clarkson 1- 6 -5 -2 - -3.20
1121 H Yale 2- 3 -1 -1 0.43
1122 H Brown 1- 2 -1 0 -0.70
1128 A Boston College 2- 3 -1 0 -1.02
1129 A Boston College 4- 2 2 0 1.98
1204 H Clarkson 1- 1 0 -1 1.01
1206 A Clarkson 3- 4 -1 -2 0.80
109 A Colgate 2- 6 -4 -1 - -2.78
110 A Cornell 2- 5 -3 -2 -1.09
116 H Union 5- 2 3 1 1.88
117 H RPI 5- 2 3 2 0.89
120 H Clarkson 0- 5 -5 -1 - -3.99
123 A Harvard 1- 1 0 -1 0.92
124 A Dartmouth 2- 1 1 1 0.01
130 H Princeton 0- 2 -2 -1 -0.66
131 H Quinnipiac 3- 1 2 -2 + 3.93
206 A Brown 2- 3 -1 -1 0.08
207 A Yale 1- 4 -3 -2 -0.78
213 H Cornell 3- 4 -1 -1 0.13
214 H Colgate 2- 4 -2 0 -1.57
221 A Harvard 2- 3 -1 -1 -0.08
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UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1017 A RIT 1- 4 -3 0 - -2.57 1112 A Clarkson 1- 6 -5 -2 - -3.20 109 A Colgate 2- 6 -4 -1 - -2.78 120 H Clarkson 0- 5 -5 -1 - -3.99 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1004 A Mercyhurst 3- 0 3 -1 ++ 4.31 1016 A RIT 3- 0 3 0 + 3.43 131 H Quinnipiac 3- 1 2 -2 + 3.93 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 36.62
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Colgate (19-15, 96.0) 1- 0 -3.92 4.08 0.39 1.02 9.10
3 A Penn State (35- 7, 97.8) 0- 3 -2.08 5.92 0.39 1.02 -0.86
3 A Penn State (35- 7, 97.8) 2- 5 -2.08 5.92 0.39 1.02 -0.86
3 A Mercyhurst (21-11, 96.1) 0- 1 -3.83 4.17 0.39 1.02 -1.75
3 A Mercyhurst (21-11, 96.1) 3- 0 -3.83 4.17 0.39 1.02 9.29
3 H Vermont (16-20, 94.7) 1- 1 -5.24 2.76 -0.39 1.02 0.00
3 H Vermont (16-20, 94.7) 1- 2 -5.24 2.76 -0.39 1.02 -2.87
3 A RIT (17-20, 95.2) 3- 0 -4.71 3.29 0.39 1.02 7.50
3 A RIT (17-20, 95.2) 1- 4 -4.71 3.29 0.39 1.02 -2.20
3 A RPI ( 7-28, 93.4) 3- 2 -6.47 1.53 0.39 1.02 3.92
3 A Union (12-22, 94.4) 3- 2 -5.48 2.53 0.39 1.02 5.94
3 H Dartmouth ( 5-23, 93.8) 2- 1 -6.13 1.88 -0.39 1.02 3.02
3 H Harvard (16-15, 95.7) 0- 1 -4.22 3.78 -0.39 1.02 -2.35
3 A Quinnipiac (29- 9, 97.5) 2- 3 -2.42 5.58 0.39 1.02 -1.03
3 A Princeton (23-11, 96.9) 1- 0 -3.01 4.99 0.39 1.02 10.95
3 A Clarkson (20-11, 96.6) 1- 6 -3.34 4.66 0.39 1.02 -1.50
3 H Yale (26-10, 97.0) 2- 3 -2.92 5.08 -0.39 1.02 -1.69
3 H Brown (18-15, 95.8) 1- 2 -4.06 3.94 -0.39 1.02 -2.26
3 A Boston College (17-19, 94.7) 2- 3 -5.16 2.84 0.39 1.02 -2.43
3 A Boston College (17-19, 94.7) 4- 2 -5.16 2.84 0.39 1.02 6.58
3 H Clarkson (20-11, 96.6) 1- 1 -3.34 4.66 -0.39 1.02 0.00
3 A Clarkson (20-11, 96.6) 3- 4 -3.34 4.66 0.39 1.02 -1.50
3 A Colgate (19-15, 96.0) 2- 6 -3.92 4.08 0.39 1.02 -1.80
3 A Cornell (20-12, 96.7) 2- 5 -3.23 4.78 0.39 1.02 -1.44
3 H Union (12-22, 94.4) 5- 2 -5.48 2.53 -0.39 1.02 4.34
3 H RPI ( 7-28, 93.4) 5- 2 -6.47 1.53 -0.39 1.02 2.32
3 H Clarkson (20-11, 96.6) 0- 5 -3.34 4.66 -0.39 1.02 -1.90
3 A Harvard (16-15, 95.7) 1- 1 -4.22 3.78 0.39 1.02 0.00
3 A Dartmouth ( 5-23, 93.8) 2- 1 -6.13 1.88 0.39 1.02 4.61
3 H Princeton (23-11, 96.9) 0- 2 -3.01 4.99 -0.39 1.02 -1.73
3 H Quinnipiac (29- 9, 97.5) 3- 1 -2.42 5.58 -0.39 1.02 10.55
3 A Brown (18-15, 95.8) 2- 3 -4.06 3.94 0.39 1.02 -1.86
3 A Yale (26-10, 97.0) 1- 4 -2.92 5.08 0.39 1.02 -1.29
3 H Cornell (20-12, 96.7) 3- 4 -3.23 4.78 -0.39 1.02 -1.84
3 H Colgate (19-15, 96.0) 2- 4 -3.92 4.08 -0.39 1.02 -2.20
3 A Harvard (16-15, 95.7) 2- 3 -4.22 3.78 0.39 1.02 -1.95
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40.83
|
winning pts = 78.1244 losing points = -37.2938
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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